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South Sea Investing's avatar

Hope Vistry will have similar success

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Tired Salary Bear's avatar

Great write up. It’s the first time I’ve seen you guys do a more story based one Ala scuttleblurb style. As always, the points are succinct.

As a side note, I’ve been tracking DFH and been trying to identify where/when it is a buy or if like you have mentioned, whether DFH is just an imitator but not a true believer of NVR’s cultural style.

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Matt Franz's avatar

Thanks, Irving. That wasn't a conscious effort but Scuttleblurb is one of my all time favorites and he's certainly influenced me. I am not too familiar with DFH but will give their 10-K a read.

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Tired Salary Bear's avatar

Hey Matt, apologies if it came across as critical at all. I was extremely happy to read such a piece and the story telling style does tick a lot of the checkboxes for me as a reader.

As for DFH, its founder did write 2 letters to shareholders here:

2021 - https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_f9a7d6d53ef250e0b4c12667a3298f5a/dreamfindershomes/db/2987/27053/pdf/Dream+Finders+Home+2021+Annual+Letter.pdf

2022 - https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_f9a7d6d53ef250e0b4c12667a3298f5a/dreamfindershomes/db/2987/27105/pdf/Dream+Finders+Home+2023+Annual+Letter.pdf

21's letter contained some explanations of why they came to adopt NVR's asset light model. I won't spoil it, I did find the letter intriguing.

Some thoughts though: Return on Capital is trailing NVR, So are gross margins. If efficiency is the name of the game, why are these metrics trickling downwards and will they eventually swing up? I also don't see mention of a share repurchase plan (which is a major part of NVR's formula for success and hence, important). These are the points I've gathered so far in my limited reading.

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Matt Franz's avatar

I am glad you liked it. No offense taken, I didn't mean to come off as defensive. Thanks for the links!

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